International Market Analysis

 

Category Archives: Middle East

Trump’s trials: Iran and North Korea

The Hill Ariel Cohen 02/19/2017 http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/foreign-policy/320188-trumps-trials-iran-and-north-korea As the General Michael Flynn’s political star sets amidst continued controversy, the Trump administration is facing its first foreign policy tests less than a month after the inauguration. Unsurprisingly, the two actors who are actively testing President Trump’s resolve come straight from George W. Bush’s “axis of evil”: Iran

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“Georgian Dream Meets Reality: The Coalition’s First Term and Future Reform Prospects”

“Georgian Dream Meets Reality: The Coalition’s First Term and Future Reform Prospects” Ariel Cohen, Ph.D., and Ivan Benovic October 2016 http://www.iags.org/GeorgiaReportOct2016.pdf Executive Summary   Concluding its first four years in power, the Georgian Dream coalition government has reformed and changed many aspects of Georgia’s public life. The coalition has not only continued along the path

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Putin’s Weakness Gives Kerry a Strong Hand

Newsweek March 24, 2016 By Ariel Cohen http://www.newsweek.com/putin-weakness-gives-kerry-strong-hand-440089 In Moscow this week, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry should keep in mind that Russia’s recent military engagements in Ukraine and Syria represent an attempt to manipulate perceptions. The Kremlin wants to position itself as a peer of America, open to cooperation against ISIS, but capable

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Memo to Secretary Kerry: Russia Is Weaker Than You Think

The Atlantic Council March 23, 2016 By Ariel Cohen http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/memo-to-secretary-kerry-russia-is-weaker-than-you-think When US Secretary of State John Kerry goes to Moscow this week, he should keep in mind that Russia’s recent military engagements in Ukraine and Syria represent an attempt to manipulate perceptions. The Kremlin wants to position itself as a peer of America, open to

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Iranian gas industry to require massive investments to meet European demands

Trend News Agency January 26, 2016 By Elena Kosolapova The Iranian gas industry will require massive investments to meet European and global demand, Non-resident Senior Research Fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Global Energy Center and Dinu Patriciu Eurasia Center Ariel Cohen said in his report obtained by Trend. “Only 160 billion cubic meters of gas

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Why TANAP/TAP a better alternative than Turkish Stream

Trend News Agency January 27, 2016 By Aygun Badalova The Trans Anatolian gas pipeline (TANAP) and the Trans Adriatic Pipeline (TAP), being realized within the Southern Gas Corridor project, aimed at the the transportation of the Caspian gas to Europe, provide a better alternative than Russia’s Turkish Stream project, Ariel Cohen, Nonresident Senior Research Fellow

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Amid Falling Oil Price, Middle East Arms Race Led By Saudi Arabia Expected To Slow Down

International Business Times January 12, 2016 By Christopher Harress http://www.msn.com/en-ae/news/world/black-gold-drowns-middle-east-arms-race/ar-CCtElo As Middle East nations look to build up their weaponry amid regional civil wars, that arms race is now at risk of grinding to a halt. The price of oil kept sliding Tuesday, past the point where the oil-based economies in the region are able to balance their budgets.

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Saudi-Iranian Crisis, China’s Economic Slide Set Stage for Perfect Storm in the Oil Market

The Atlantic Council January 5, 2016 By Ariel Cohen http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/saudi-iranian-crisis-china-s-economic-slide-set-the-stage-for-perfect-storm-in-the-oil-market The deepening rift between Saudi Arabia and Iran may have dire consequences for global oil markets because the kingdom’s Eastern Province, where the Shia are in the majority, produces most of its oil. Production would suffer if Iran were to foment unrest among this population.

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Russia’s Quarrel With Turkey Is Distracting—and Dangerous

The National Interest December 3, 2015 By Ariel Cohen http://nationalinterest.org/archives/by/2398 De-escalation is crucial in order to restore focus on the Syrian war itself. As the world’s leaders gathered for the COP 21 climate change summit in Paris, a more immediate and grave threat should have preoccupied their attention. Two regional powers, Russia and Turkey, have

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