International Market Analysis

 

Category Archives: Geopolitics

Iranian Aggression Masks Economic Difficulties

Since June 7, Iran and its proxy, the Houthi rebels (with their rallying cry, “God is great, death to America, death to Israel, a curse upon the Jews, victory to Islam”), have launched more than 30 ballistic missiles at Israel, prompting the Israelis to retaliate with airstrikes, and setting the stage for renewed hostilities and escalating

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Bitter Harvest: How The Iran Crisis Is Altering Fertilizer Markets

Warfare in the Persian Gulf is hitting markets well beyond oil and gas. Disruptions near the southern Iranian coastal city of Bandar Abbas and the near-blockade of the Strait of Hormuz — through which roughly one-third of globally traded fertilizer moves — are forcing buyers to rethink sourcing strategies that had been established for decades. Fertilizer prices

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The Struggle To Redraw Eurasia’s Energy Map

Russian missiles continue pounding Ukraine’s energy infrastructure despite President Vladimir Putin’s unilateral declaration of a ceasefire on May 9th. Earlier, Russian Deputy ‌Prime Minister Alexander Novak announced the suspension of Kazakh crude oil supplies via the Druzhba pipeline to Germany starting May 1st. This pipeline, which became operational in the 1960s, runs from Tatarstan, Russia, and branches through Belarus

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Iran War Will Drive Gulf Petrodollar Capital Flight To…Hollywood

Investors in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates who accumulated trillions from decades of oil sales have long been deploying sovereign wealth funds into Western assets. Their money has gone into technology, sports, infrastructure, real estate, and entertainment. That strategy was built on a simple premise: petrodollar revenues generated at home could be

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Energy In Flux: How The Current Crisis Is Shaping The Future Of Energy

On April 4th, President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social: “Remember when I gave Iran ten days to make a deal or open up the Hormuz Strait. Time is running out…” Markets have been recoiling amid instability in the Middle East, and it does not appear that jittery investors will experience any relief in the near term. However, this

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Three Ways Iran War Could End And What It Means For Global Energy

In the wake of American and Israeli strikes against Iran on February 28th, Tehran reacted swiftly, attacking energy infrastructure, water desalination plants, and other soft targets across the Middle East as well as moving to close the Strait of Hormuz. Closure of the vital Strait has long been foreseen by security experts, including this author, who warned

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Cuba’s Nationwide Blackouts Reveal Fragile Energy System

In March 2026, Cuba experienced nationwide blackouts affecting the island’s population of over 10,000,000 and bringing routine economic activity and essential services to a screeching halt. In many media narratives, this state of affairs is laid at the feet of the U.S. energy embargo on the island, often in the context of American policy towards Latin America.

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What’s At Stake In The Iran-U.S. Confrontation

In the Middle East, Iran’s theocratic government is facing an abrupt leadership change as U.S. and Israeli forces launch coordinated military operations, including Operation Epic Fury and Operation Roaring Lion. The conflict has raised concerns among analysts about regional security and potential disruptions to global energy markets. Tehran’s strategic ties with China and Russia further

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